Jonathan's Space Pages

Space Object Reentries

Catalog of Space Object Reentries


In this catalog I assess and categorize each reentry of a historical artificial space objects (payloads, rocket bodies, ejected parts but not fragmentation debris) to compare with present disposal standards.

Statistical summary table [NOTE CAVEATS IN CODES.HTML!]

In the table below, rather than estimating casualty risk, we regard reentries of objects with masses greater than a threshold mass M0 as problematic.

For this edition of the table, M0 has been set to 5000 kg. Note that less massive objects, depending on design, may also pose a significant casualty risk.

Explanation of columns for this table

Updated: 2024 Aug 23 14:20:42

ReentryStats
CodeDescClausePL DisposedPL ActiveRBPartsTotal freePL Att DispTotal
Disposal consistent with US ODMSP
D-SODown/SO Targeteda1 2 0 471 18 491 0 491
D-DODown/Deorbiteda1 369 0 549 2013 2931 0 2931
D-LANDDown/Landeda1/f 2096 0 1 0 2097 0 2097
D-LEO25Down/LEO Reentry <25yr, Low mass M<M0b 3835 0 3313 6229 13377 281 13658
D-NL25Down/LEO-crossing <25yr, Low mass M<M0b 237 0 669 621 1527 8 1535
U-LEO25Up/LEO <25yr expected,Low mass M<M0b 1592 7282 129 39 9042 10 9052
U-NL25Up/LEO-crossing <25yr expected, Low mass M<M0b 2 0 14 12 28 2 30
U-MEO-EMEO Graveyard (ell.)c.I 24 5 201 110 340 4 344
U-MEO-CMEO Graveyard (circ)c.II 201 91 118 58 468 7 475
U-GGYDGEO Graveyardd 20 579 59 15 673 2 675
D-LUNDown/LunarL 68 0 7 64 139 0 139
U-HELHeliocentrica2 168 29 139 227 563 1 564
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SubtotalGood disposal (see note below)- 8614 7986 5670 9406 31676 315 31991
Other disposal
D-LEO25MDown/LEO Reentry <25yr, Massive M>M0- 35 0 97 0 132 3 135
U-LEO25MUp/LEO <25yr expected, Massive M>M0- 6 0 5 0 11 0 11
D-LEODown/LEO Reentry >25yr- 39 0 47 74 160 0 160
D-NLDown/LEO-crossing Reentry >25yr- 25 0 43 61 129 1 130
U-LEO+Up/LEO >25yr exceeded- 1289 0 642 506 2437 14 2451
U-LEOUp/LEO >25yr expected- 821 401 218 348 1788 10 1798
U-NL+Up/LEO-crossing >25yr exceeded- 25 0 23 110 158 2 160
U-NLUp/LEO-crossing >25yr expected- 7 2 8 76 93 0 93
U-DESTDestroyed- 9 0 4 3 16 0 16
U-GTOCrosses LEO and GEO- 125 50 367 147 689 3 692
U-XMEOViolates MEO rule- 46 33 5 3 87 0 87
U-XGEOCrosses GEO- 39 0 124 43 206 1 207
U-GEOIn GEO- 716 0 137 118 971 0 971
U-CISLCislunar- 35 13 34 48 130 0 130
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SubtotalBad disposal- 3217 499 1764 1542 7022 34 7056

Note: "Good disposal" means good from the point of view of risk for in-orbit debris collisions; can still be very "bad" from the point of view of ground casualty list for massive reentries.

Further caveats on the following items from US ODMSP Section 4-1:

Note: The ESA standard (ESSB-ST-U-007, 2023) and the ISO standard (ISO-24113, 2023) have generally similar requirements to the US standard, although the ISO standard restricts the GEO protected zone to inclinations of less than 15 degrees, and the ESA standard could use some improvements in clarity.